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Ashcroft polls -  Wednesday, 4 March, 2015

 

Ross,-Skye-&-Lochaber

 Aberdeenshire-West-&-Kincardine

Ayr,-Carrick-&-Cumnock

Kirkcaldy-&-Cowdenbeath

Edinburgh-South-West

East-Renfrewshire

Dumfriesshire,-Clydesdale-&-Tweeddale

Dumfries-&-Galloway

Constituency Surveys

By Lord Ashcroft

 

Airdrie-&-Shotts-

Dundee-West-

Gordon

Inverness,-Nairn,-Badenoch-&-Strathspey-[1]

West-Dunbartonshire-

Paisley-&-Renfrewshire-South-

Motherwell-&-Wishaw-

Glasgow-South-West-

Cumbernauld,-Kilsyth-&-Kirkintilloch-East

Glasgow-North-West-

Glasgow-North-East-

Glasgow-East-

Glasgow-South-

Glasgow-Central-

Glasgow-North-

17th October 2014

 

A super poll of the YouGov Scottish samples since the referendum shows the following party support (changes on 2010 in brackets):

SNP 40.1% (+20.2%)

Lab  27.9% (-14.1%)

Con 17.8% (+1.1%)

LD    6.2%  (-12.7%)

UKIP 4.1% (+3.4%)

Green 3.2% (+2.5%)

Total sample size is: 4,845

Fieldwork: 21st September - 17th October 2014

___________________________________________
 
20th Feb. 2014
 
The gap between the Yes and No camps is down to nine points, with the independence campaign on 38 points, while the pro-Union side is on 47 per cent, according to the poll by Survation. The narrowing gap is down from 20 points in a survey by the same pollster last month.
 
The poll also shows the SNP is 13 points clear of Labour in voting intentions for the Holyrood elections in 2016. The Nationalists are on 44 per cent compared with Labour on 31 per cent. The Tories are on 13 per cent, with the Liberal Democrats struggling on 6 per cent, according to the survey.
______________________________________________________________
 
With 18 months to go it's Yes 44%  No 56%
 
Polling company 'Panelbase' interviewed 885 adults in Scotland between March 18-22 for the Sunday Times and Real Radio Scotland:
 
Should Scotland be an independent country? Yes: 36% (+2% since Jan) No: 46% (-1%) Undecided: 18% (-1%)
 
When undecided voters are removed, the findings are: Yes: 44% No: 56%  
 

Support for the SNP hits 50% as the party stretches its poll lead over Labour (Ipsos-MORI poll December 2011)

Backing for the SNP has slightly increased, yet again, giving the party double the support enjoyed by Labour in the latest Holyrood poll.

Among those certain to vote, half (51%) would back the SNP in an election to the Scottish Parliament, up by 2 percentage points from the last IPSOS-Mori poll in August and by 6 points from May’s election victory. While support for the Conservatives and Liberal Democrats remain largely unchanged (at 12% and 8% respectively), Labour’s support now stands at 26%, down 2 points from the August poll.

The SNP’s lead over Labour is particularly strong among men, where they have a 37-point lead, and those in rural areas, where they have a 30-point lead.

Satisfaction with party leaders

First Minister Alex Salmond continues to rate highly among voters. Three in five Scots (62%) say they are satisfied with his performance as First Minister compared to just over a quarter (27%) who say they are dissatisfied, giving him a net satisfaction rating of +35%, up a single point from the last poll in April.

For the two opposition parties with new leaders, the issue is mainly one of public recognition. Over half of voters (57%) could not say whether or not they were satisfied with new Conservative leader Ruth Davidson as she is not yet well known enough; this includes nearly half (48%) of Conservative supporters, suggesting that many of the parties’ backers are yet to make their minds up about her leadership.

Similarly, 52% of voters could not comment on new Liberal Democrat leader Willie Rennie, suggesting he has similar issues of public recognition to overcome.

Ipsos-MORI Poll Sept 2011
 
Following the SNP’s landmark overall majority in May’s Scottish Parliament elections, the honeymoon period continues as voters back the party in Westminster and Holyrood poll.

The latest poll shows that, among those certain to vote, the SNP’s share of the Holyrood constituency vote stands at 49%, up 4 percentage points on their election result. The strength of SNP support has come at the expense of the three other main parties, none of whom have shown signs of recovery since the election.  Labour now stands at 28%, down four points from May and 21 points behind the SNP, while the Conservatives and Liberal Democrats stand at 13% and 7%, each down a single point.

The SNP’s lead over Labour is particularly strong among men, where they have a 31 point lead, and those aged 55 and over, where they have a 25 point lead.

The SNP’s current popularity is also reflected in Westminster voting intentions, where the party enjoys a nine point lead over Labour. Among those certain to vote, the SNP’s share of the vote stands at 42%, some 19 points up on the party’s performance at the 2010 General Election.  Labour are currently on 33%, down 9 points, while the Conservatives and Liberal Democrats are on 16% and 6%, down 1% and 13% respectively.

Satisfaction with party leaders

Along with the continued popularity of his party, Alex Salmond continues to enjoy the backing of a majority of voters and 62% say they are satisfied with his performance as First Minister compared to just over a quarter (28%) who say they are dissatisfied, giving him a net satisfaction rating of +34%, up a single point from our last poll in April.

With Labour and the Conservatives currently without leaders, the only other Scottish party leader included in the poll was Willie Rennie, recently appointed to lead the Liberal Democrats.  His main challenge would appear to be public recognition with half of the voters unable to rate his performance, as they had no idea who he was.  Fewer than one in five (17%) say they are satisfied with his performance as leader, compared to 32% who are dissatisfied.

___________________________________________

European poll of polls for month of May 2009

After four polls taken between the 7th and 16th of May where a total
of 771 people in Scotland were polled – the combined results are as
follows (with changes from 2004 in brackets):

SNP: 37% (+17%)
Labour: 25% (-1%)
Tory: 17% (-1%)
LibDem: 12% (-1%)
UKIP: 3% (-4%)
Green: 3% (-4%)
Other: 4% (-6%)
A 9% swing Labour to SNP since 2004.

The four polls are:

YouGov/Sunday Times - 7th-8th May 2009
Populus/Times - 8th-10th May 2009

YouGov/The Sun - 13th-14th May 2009
YouGov/Telegraph - 14th 16th May 2009

2. Westminster poll of polls for month of May

After four polls taken between the 7th and 20th of May where a total
of 1511 people in Scotland were polled – the combined results are as
follows (with changes from 2005 in brackets):

SNP: 36% (+18%)
Labour: 27% (-13%)
Tory: 19% (3%)
LibDem: 13% (-10%)
Other: 6% (2%)

A 16% swing Labour to SNP since 2005

YouGov/Sunday Times - 7th - 8th May 2009
Populus/Times - 8th-10th May 2009

YouGov/The Sun - 13th - 14th May 2009
ComRes/Independent on Sunday - 13th-14th May 2009

YouGov/Telegraph - 14th - 16th May 2009
Populus/ITV - 19th-20th May 2009
Progressive/Mail on Sunday - 15th-20th May

21 : 02 : 2009

Support for Indendence increases

Support for independence has hardened in the face of the global recession, despite Labour predictions that the crisis would see more Scots turning to the Union for protection.

The latest TNS System Three survey for the Sunday Herald found support for leaving the union rose three points during the last quarter, while opposition to a separate Scottish state fell to its lowest level since the poll began 18 months ago.

The findings suggest the public has ignored Labour warnings that a breakaway Scotland would be doomed to join Iceland in the "arc of insolvency".

The poll was taken after opposition parties initially voted down the SNP government's budget on February 28. Voters were reportedly unimpressed that MSPs could not agree a budget despite the country suffering the worst recession in decades.

The poll asked 971 adults how they would vote in a referendum on whether the Scottish government should open negotiations with Westminster on independence.

Support for commencing talks on separation was 38%, compared to 35% in October, while opposition was 40%, compared to 43%.

When TNS System Three began polling on the question, shortly after the SNP entered government, opposition ran as high as 50%. The new survey shows the gap between opposition and support, which widened to eight points last October in the initial reaction to the banking crisis, has now returned to the two-point difference seen last June.

 
 
 
YouGov - Sunday Times 22nd-24th Oct 2008
 
Scottish Parliament Constituency Vote
 
SNP              39%
Lab                31%
Con               14%
Lib                 12%
Other              3%
Don't know    9%
Will not vote  3%
 
Scottish Regional Vote
 
SNP              32%
Lab                29%
Con               16%
Lib                 11%
Other             13%  (Green 6%, SSP 4%, Solidarity 1%)
Don't know    11%
Will not vote    3%
 
Westminster
 
Lab                38%
SNP              29%
Con               20%
Lib                 11%
Other              2% 
Don't know    12%
Will not vote    4%

YouGov/Sunday Times poll, 3-5 September 2007, sample 1,355 adults in Scotland
 
[change from May 2007 in brackets]:
 
HOLYROOD CONSTITUENCY VOTE
SNP: 42% (+9)
Lab: 26% (-6)
Lib: 15% (-1)
Con: 13% (-4)

HOLYROOD REGIONAL VOTE
SNP: 35% (+4)
Lab: 25% (-4)
Lib: 14% (+3)
Con: 14% (n/c)

SCOTTISH PARLIAMENT SEATS
SNP: 59 (+12)
Lab: 36 (-10)
Lib: 19 (+3)
Con: 15 (-2)

WESTMINSTER ELECTION
SNP: 34% (+16)
Lab: 32% (-8)
Con: 17% (+1)
Lib: 13% (-10)

WHO WOULD MAKE THE BEST SCOTTISH FIRST MINISTER
Alex Salmond: 41%
Annabel Goldie: 8%
Cathy Jamieson: 7%
Tavish Scott: 5%
Andy Kerr: 5%
Iain Gray: 3%

DO YOU SUPPORT SALMOND'S PLANS TO SCRAP COUNCIL TAX AND RAISE INCOME TAX TO 23p
Support: 46%
Oppose: 31%
Don't know: 23%

Note: A TNS system Three poll between 23-29 April 2008 asked whether people supported or opposed the introduction of a local income tax to replace the Council Tax, and also found 46% in favour, with 22% opposed, and 32% Don't know.

HOW WOULD YOU VOTE IN A REFERENDUM ON SCOTTISH INDEPENDENCE
FOR: 34%
AGAINST: 50%

UNDER A CONSERVATIVE GOVERNMENT SCENARIO
FOR: 50%
AGAINST: 41%

_______________________________________________

YouGov poll, commissioned by the SNP, conducted 6-8 August, sample 1,028.
 
SNP RECORD BIGGEST EVER LEAD
 
Scottish Parliament constituency vote [change from May 2007 in brackets]:
 
SNP:         44% [+11]
Labour:     25% [-7]
Lib Dem:  14% [-2]
Con:          13% [-4]
Other:         4% [+2]
 
Applying these figures to the Weber Shandwick Scotland Votes model, the SNP would win 58 of Scotland's 73 Holyrood first-past-the- post seats.
 
SNP - 58 constituency seats (plus 37)
Labour - 8 constituency seats (minus 29)
LibDems - 6 constituency seats (minus 5)
Tories - 1 constituency seat (minus 3)
 
The SNP would gain the seats of all three Labour leadership contenders - Iain Gray, Andy Kerr and Cathy Jamieson.

 
A new poll by YouGov has recorded the biggest ever poll lead for the SNP with the party establishing a 19% lead over the Labour party in Scottish Parliament constituency voting intentions.
 
The poll, commissioned by the SNP, is the first since John Mason sensationally won the Glasgow East by-election and shows the SNP on 44% with Labour trailing on 25%. On the basis of these figures all three Labour leadership candidates would lose their seats to the SNP.
 
Commenting on the poll SNP Depute Leader and Deputy First Minister Ms Nicola Sturgeon MSP said:
 
"This is a sensational poll, which gives the SNP an all-time record lead of nearly twenty points over a Labour Party which is mired in division and disarray.
 
"Labour had better hurry up with their leadership election, because on the basis of these figures ALL THREE candidates would lose their seats to the SNP - just as we won Labour's third safest Westminster seat in Scotland in Glasgow East.
 
"Trust in and support for the SNP Government and our policies are riding high – while Labour are plunged into crisis at both Scottish and UK levels.
 
"The SNP government have taken decisive action to help families and business with rising costs – freezing the Council Tax, cutting business rates, starting the phased abolition of prescription charges, and restoring free education.
 
"The people are on the side of the Scottish Government because the SNP are on the side of the people."

_______________________________________________________

SUNDAY HERALD
Sunday 13 April 2008
 
Agree or disagree to Scottish independence (changes since last August in brackets)
 
April 2008
Agree: 41% (+6)
Disagree: 40% (-10)
Don't know: 19% (+4)
 
December 2007
Agree: 40%
Disagree: 44%
Don't Know: 16%
 
August 2007
Agree: 35%
Disagree: 50%
Don't Know: 15%
 
The TNS System Three poll reflects the proposed question for an independence referendum that the Scottish Government contains in the National Conversation White Paper on Scotland's future. TNS System Three have asked the same question twice previously, with support for independence moving forward from a 15 point deficit last August to being ahead for the first time since last year's Scottish Parliament election now. The poll was sampled between 26 March and 4 April.
 
 

YouGov poll, conducted from 2-4 April, sample 1,070
 
Scottish Parliament constituency vote (change since 2007 in brackets)
SNP: 40% (+7)
Lab: 32% (-)
Con: 12% (-5)
Lib: 13% (-3)
Oth: 4%
 
Scottish Parliament list vote (change since 2007 in brackets)
SNP: 33% (+2)
Lab: 30% (+1)
Con: 13% (-1)
Lib: 12% (+1)
Oth: 13% 
 
Holyrood seats projection:
SNP: 49 (+2)
Lab: 44 (-2)
Con: 15 (-2)
Lib: 15 (-1)
Oth: 6 (+3)
 
Westminster General Election (change since 2005 in brackets)
SNP: 31% (+13)
Lab: 35% (-5)
Con: 17% (+1)
Lib: 12% (-11)
Oth: 4%
 
Support for a referendum on Scottish independence:
Immediate referendum: 11%
Within the next year: 28%
In 2010: 26%
Should not be referendum: 21%
None of these: 4%
Don't know: 11%
 
65% SUPPORT A REFERENDUM WITHIN THE LIFETIME OF THIS PARLIAMENT
 
Support or oppose country becoming a country independent of the rest of the UK
Support: 34%
Oppose: 50%
Don't know: 15%
 
The SNP have been in power 11 months. Do achievements make you more or less likely to vote for independence:
Much more likely: 17%
A little more: 15%
No difference: 35%
A little less: 8%
Much less: 19%
Don't know: 7%

SNP support at all-time high
 
The MRUK Cello poll published in the Sunday Times (16th March '08) shows that: * The SNP's lead over Labour has soared to 8% on the constituency vote and 10 points on the regional list vote * The SNP are projected to win 57 seats - 13 more than Labour *
 
The poll's findings showed that:
 
Scottish Parliament constituency vote:
SNP: 39% (+6)
Lab: 31% (-1)
Con: 15% (-2)
Lib: 12% (-4)
Oth: 3% (+1)
 
Scottish Parliament regional vote:
SNP: 40% (+9)
Lab: 30% (+1)
Con: 13% (-1)
Lib: 11% (-)
Oth: 5% (-10)
 
Projected seats:
SNP: 57
Lab: 44
Con: 16
Lib: 12
 
How is Alex Salmond doing as leader of the Scottish Government?
Well: 70%
Badly: 17%
Don't know: 13%
POSITIVE RATING: +53
 
How is Wendy Alexander doing as leader of the Scottish Labour Party ?
Well: 30%
Badly: 52%
Don't know: 18%
NEGATIVE RATING: -22

Among Labour voters, 66% say Alex Salmond is doing a good job, compared with 39% who believe Wendy Alexander is doing well.

Three times as many Scots trust Salmond over Alexander to deal with all the main areas of devolved government.

40% of Scots are less likely to vote Labour as a result of Wendy Alexander's illegal donation problems.

A quarter believe they are serious enough to warrant her resignation, while a further 15% think she should quit for other reasons.

Two-thirds of Scots say that they would vote for independence in certain circumstances.

"There is no good news for Wendy in this poll," says Ivor Knox, of MRUK Cello. "The first 10 months of SNP government has clearly strengthened its support.  On the key issues of the economy, education, health and law and order, far more voters trust Salmond rather than Alexander to look after their interests."
 
Deputy First Minister and SNP Depute Leader Ms Nicola Sturgeon MSP said: "These are fantastic poll ratings for the SNP and the Scottish Government. As we approach the anniversary of our first year in office, the poll shows that our fast pace of delivery continues to gain the trust of the people with sky high approval ratings under the leadership of Alex Salmond.  Alex Salmond's +53% rating demonstrates his outstanding leadership of the Scottish Government. By contrast, Wendy Alexander's leadership is in deep crisis."

3rd December 2007

The Scottish National Party released polling figures commissioned from YouGov on support for the Scottish Government and political leaders:

1. The SNP has been in government in Scotland for just over 6 months.
How do you think the SNP Government has fared so far:

Well: 63%
Badly: 26%
Don't know: 12%

Among Tory voters it is 56% well to 32% badly; among Labour voters 52% to 38%; and among Lib Dem voters 64% to 32%.

The last time YouGov polled on Scottish Government satisfaction
ratings, 60% of Scots thought it was doing a good job, and 27% a bad job (1-4 October) – so approval for the Scottish Government is
actually INCREASING six months into government.

2. Thinking about the performance of Gordon Brown as Prime Minister and Alex Salmond as First Minister of Scotland, which one do you think is doing a better job?

Alex Salmond: 50%
Gordon Brown: 22%
Neither: 21%
Don't know: 7%

3. Thinking about the performances of the political party leaders
since the Scottish election in May, who has impressed you most?

Alex Salmond, SNP: 46%
Wendy Alexander, Labour: 10%
Annabel Goldie, Conservative: 9%
Nicol Stephen, Lib Dem: 4%
Don't know: 31%

The poll was conducted before the full extent of Labour's leadership
crisis in Scotland became apparent.

Among Labour voters, Alex Salmond is backed by 34% - well ahead of Wendy Alexander at just 24%.

Among Lib Dem voters, Alex Salmond is backed by 39% - more than three-times the 12% who favour Nicol Stephen!

Among Tory voters, Annabel Goldie only just shades Alex Salmond – by  31% to 27%.

YouGov poll commissioned by the SNP, sample size: 1,111, fieldwork:  28-30 November 2007

Sunday 7 October 2007

YOUGOV POLL SHOWS SNP MAJOR GAINER
 

The Scottish National Party today [Sunday] released findings from a
YouGov opinion poll commissioned by the Party, which sampled Scottish opinion at the end of the UK conference season.  Its key findings are:

* SNP support for a Westminster election is up some 10 points since
2005. Lib Dem support is halved.

* By more than 2 to 1, Scots believe that the Scottish Government is
doing a good job.

* First Minister Alex Salmond is more popular among Labour voters than Wendy Alexander, and more popular among Lib Dem voters than Nicol Stephen.

* More people believe that the SNP are positive about Scotland than
all of the other parties added together.


YOUGOV POLL COMMISSIONED BY THE SNP, SAMPLE 966, 1-4 OCTOBER


The Scottish National Party commissioned a poll from YouGov at the end of the UK Conference season.

WESTMINSTER PARTY RATINGS

The poll shows that the SNP is the big gainer – notwithstanding the
publicity benefits of conference which gave both Labour and the Tories a surge.  SNP support is around 10 points up compared to the last election, while Lib Dem support is halved.

Westminster Vote (2005 election figures in brackets)

Lab: 42% (39.5)
SNP: 27% (17.7)
Con: 18% (15.8)
Lib: 11% (22.6)
Other: 3% (5)

The SNP are the big gainers, and the Lib Dems are the major losers.


SCOTTISH GOVERNMENT RATINGS

Do you think the SNP Scottish Government / Executive is doing a good job or a bad job?

Good: 60%
Bad: 27%
Don't know: 14%


On the basis of what you have heard since the Scottish election
campaign which of these party leaders has impressed you most?

Annabel Goldie: 9%
Wendy Alexander: 9%
Alex Salmond: 39%
Nicol Stephen: 3%
None of them:   28%
Don't know: 11%

Among Lib Dem voters it is: Alex 26%, Nicol 14%, Annabel 11%, Wendy 6%

Among Labour voters it is: Alex 25%, Wendy 20%, Annabel 6%, Nicol 4%

Among SNP voters: Alex 84%, Annabel 2%, Nicol 2%, Wendy 1%

Among Tory voters: Annabel 31%, Alex 26%, Wendy 4%, Nicol 0%

Thinking about the performance of Alex Salmond as First Minister of
Scotland, do you think he is doing a good job or a bad job?

Good: 63%
Bad: 25%
Don't know: 12%



OPTIMISTIC ABOUT SCOTLAND

The SNP are far ahead of every other party among every age group,
social class, and geographical area of Scotland in terms of being
positive and optimistic about Scotland:

Which Party do you think is most optimistic about Scotland's future?

Scottish National Party: 46%
Labour: 20%
Conservative: 6%
Liberal Democrats: 5%
None of them: 10%
Don't know: 13%

This reflects the Strathclyde University Election Study which
concluded that the SNP won the Scottish election, "by persuading
enough voters that it had a positive agenda for governing Scotland".
 
 
____________________

10th August 2007

 SENSATIONAL POLL RESULTS FOR SNP

 HIGHEST EVER POLL RATING AND 16 POINT LEAD

 SNP 48% - LABOUR 32%

 Commenting on the poll in the Daily Mail by Progressive Scottish
Opinion  which puts the SNP at 48% to 32% for Labour and also shows 40% of the public are satisfied with the new SNP Government with only 12%  unfavourable a spokesperson for the the Scottish National Party said:

 "These are sensational figures, showing SNP support up 15 points
since the  election - and clearly there is no 'Brown bounce' in Scotland.  The poll  underlines the success of the SNP government in delivering our programme  for the first 100 days at a pace that has left the opposition parties gasping, and unable to keep up.

 "This is the highest opinion poll rating we have ever recorded.

 "The SNP has build credibility and competence in government, and that is  reflected in the satisfaction figures running at over three-to-one in favour.  No previous Scottish government has build up such a solid  platform of support in its first 100 days.

 "Support for independence depends on how you ask the question - with as  many polls in favour as against - and the important thing now is that we  will lead a national conversation on Scotland's constitutional future which will galvanise further support."

Details

 The results from Progressive Scottish  Opinion are:

 If a Holyrood election was held tomorrow, which party would you vote
for?

SNP 48%
Labour 32%
Tories 8%
Lib Dems 8%
Greens 2%
SSP 2%

How satisfied are you with the SNP's performance to date?

Very satisfied 10%
Quite satisfied 30%
Neither 25%
Quite dissatisfied 7%
Very dissatisfied 5%
Unsure/don't know 23%

 Would you approve or disapprove of Scotland becoming independent?

 Approve 31%
 Disapprove 49%
 Unsure/don't know 20%

Poll 1st July

SNP IN GOVERNMENT – REFLECTING THE MOOD OF THE NATION
 
After 49 days in office the first SNP Government has hit the ground running in delivering our policy agenda. A fact reflected in an exclusive opinion poll commissioned by the party.
 
 
* PARTY RATINGS
 
The poll found increasing support for the SNP since their election to Government. The results were:
 
Constituency Vote
 
 
 
Regional Vote
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Party
Poll
Election
% Change
 
Party
Poll
Election
% Change
SNP
38
33
+5
 
SNP
33
31
+2
Lab
31
32
-1
 
Lab
28
29
-1
Con
14
17
-3
 
Con
14
14
n/c
Lib
12
16
-4
 
Lib
10
11
-1
Other
6
2
4
 
Grn
7
4
3
 
 
 
 
 
SSP
5
1
4
 
 
 
 
 
Sol
1
2
-1
 
 
 
 
 
Other
2
8
-6
 
 
* OVERALL PERFORMANCE
 
The poll found overwhelming support for the SNP Government performing well in office. The results were:
 
On the basis of what you have heard since the Scottish election, how do you think the new SNP government is performing?
 
Well
56
Badly
13
Don’t know
31
 
 
 
* POLICY DELIVERY
 
The poll found overwhelming approval for the measures the SNP Government has introduced since the election. The results were:
 
Here are some measures that the Scottish Government has announced since the SNP won last month’s election. Do you approve or disapprove each of them?
 
Removing prescription charges for people suffering chronic conditions
 
 
Reducing class sizes to 18 in primary school classes for years 1 to 3
 
Approve
88
 
Approve
70
Neither approve nor disapprove
4
 
Neither approve nor disapprove
18
Disapprove
4
 
Disapprove
8
Don’t know
4
 
Don’t know
4
 
Removing the Graduate Endowment fee for Scottish students
 
Approve
60
Neither approve nor disapprove
22
Disapprove
12
Don’t know
7
 
 
 
* CONSTRUCTIVE & CONSENSUAL
 
The poll found that Alex Salmond has been constructive and consensual as First Minister compared to the leader of the opposition. The results were:
 
Alex Salmond has tried to be constructive and consensual following his election as First Minister
 
 
Jack McConnell has tried to be constructive and consensual following Alex Salmond's election as First Minister
 
Agree
47
 
Agree
18
Neither agree nor disagree
24
 
Neither agree nor disagree
38
Disagree
20
 
Disagree
32
Don’t know
9
 
Don’t know
12
 
 
 
 
 
Difference between Agree & Disagree
+27
 
Difference between Agree & Disagree
-14
 
 
 
 
* IMPRESSING THE PUBLIC
 
Since his election as First Minister Alex Salmond has been the most impressive of all the Scottish political party leaders in the Scottish Parliament. The results were:
 
On the basis of what you have heard since the Scottish election campaign, which of the following leaders has impressed you MOST?
 
Alex Salmond
38
Annabel Goldie
10
Jack McConnell
9
Nicol Stephen
3
None of them
24
Don’t know
17
 
 
 
* RECOGNITION
 
Alex Salmond also rates very well in terms of recognition factor amongst the public.
 
Below are a number of prominent Scottish politicians. How much would you say you know about them?
 
 
Alex Salmond
Jack McConnell
Nicol Stephen
Anabel Goldie
Know a lot or something about them
83
81
43
57
Know little or have not heard of them
13
14
52
38
Not sure
5
5
5
5
Difference +/-
70
67
-9
19
 
Nicola Sturgeon also comes out well alongside comparable Labour politicians:
 
 
Nicola Sturgeon
Wendy Alexander
Douglas Alexander
Andy Kerr
Margaret Curran
Know a lot or something about them
67
44
30
26
14
Know little or have not heard of them
29
50
64
68
80
Not sure
5
5
6
6
6
Difference +/-
38
-6
-34
-42
-66
 
 
 
* OPTIMISM BEATS PESSIMISM
 
The poll found that people were more optimistic since the election of the SNP Government. The results were:
 
Since the election of the SNP government are you more optimistic or less optimistic about Scotland’s future over the next four years?
 
More optimistic
37
Less optimistic
27
My view hasn’t changed
28
Don’t know
8
 
 
 
* CONGRATULATIONS
 
The poll found people thought Tony Blair was wrong not to formally congratulate Alex Salmond  on his appointment as First Minister. The results were:
 
Do you think Tony Blair, as the Prime Minister at the time, should have contacted the new Scottish First Minister to formally congratulate him on his appointment?
 
Yes, he should
69
No, there was no obligation to do so
10
I don’t care either way
17
Don’t know
5
 
 
Poll Data: YouGov / Scottish National Party Survey; Sample Size: 1026; Fieldwork: 26th - 29th June 2007

Alex Salmond speaks to a packed conference

John is at the back!

_________________________________________________________________________________________
 
 
 

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