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YouGov poll, commissioned by the SNP, conducted 6-8 August, sample 1,028.
SNP RECORD BIGGEST EVER LEAD
Scottish Parliament constituency vote [change from May 2007 in brackets]:
SNP: 44% [+11] Labour:
25% [-7] Lib Dem: 14% [-2] Con: 13% [-4] Other:
4% [+2]
Applying these figures to the Weber Shandwick Scotland Votes model, the SNP would win 58 of Scotland's 73 Holyrood first-past-the-
post seats.
SNP - 58 constituency seats (plus 37) Labour - 8 constituency seats (minus 29) LibDems - 6 constituency seats (minus
5) Tories - 1 constituency seat (minus 3)
The SNP would gain the seats of all three Labour leadership contenders - Iain Gray, Andy Kerr and Cathy Jamieson.
A new poll by YouGov has recorded the biggest ever poll lead for the SNP with the party establishing
a 19% lead over the Labour party in Scottish Parliament constituency voting intentions.
The poll, commissioned by the SNP, is the first since John Mason sensationally won the Glasgow East by-election
and shows the SNP on 44% with Labour trailing on 25%. On the basis of these figures all three Labour leadership candidates
would lose their seats to the SNP.
Commenting on the poll SNP Depute Leader and Deputy First Minister Ms Nicola Sturgeon MSP said:
"This is a sensational poll, which gives the SNP an all-time record lead of nearly twenty
points over a Labour Party which is mired in division and disarray.
"Labour had better hurry up with their leadership election, because on the basis of these
figures ALL THREE candidates would lose their seats to the SNP - just as we won Labour's third safest Westminster seat in
Scotland in Glasgow East.
"Trust in and support for the SNP Government and our policies are riding high –
while Labour are plunged into crisis at both Scottish and UK levels.
"The SNP government have taken decisive action to help families and business with rising costs
– freezing the Council Tax, cutting business rates, starting the phased abolition of prescription charges, and
restoring free education.
"The people are on the side of the Scottish Government because the SNP are on the
side of the people."
_______________________________________________________
SUNDAY HERALD
Sunday 13 April 2008
Agree or disagree to Scottish independence (changes since last August in brackets)
April 2008
Agree: 41% (+6) Disagree: 40% (-10) Don't know: 19% (+4)
December 2007
Agree: 40% Disagree: 44% Don't Know: 16%
August 2007
Agree: 35% Disagree: 50% Don't Know: 15%
The TNS System Three poll reflects the proposed question for an independence referendum that the Scottish
Government contains in the National Conversation White Paper on Scotland's future. TNS System Three have asked the same question
twice previously, with support for independence moving forward from a 15 point deficit last August to being ahead for the
first time since last year's Scottish Parliament election now. The poll was sampled between 26 March and 4 April.
YouGov poll, conducted from 2-4 April, sample 1,070
Scottish Parliament constituency vote (change since 2007 in brackets)
SNP: 40% (+7)
Lab: 32% (-)
Con: 12% (-5)
Lib: 13% (-3)
Oth: 4%
Scottish Parliament list vote (change since 2007 in brackets)
SNP: 33% (+2)
Lab: 30% (+1)
Con: 13% (-1)
Lib: 12% (+1)
Oth: 13%
Holyrood seats projection:
SNP: 49 (+2)
Lab: 44 (-2)
Con: 15 (-2)
Lib: 15 (-1)
Oth: 6 (+3)
Westminster General Election (change since 2005 in brackets)
SNP: 31% (+13)
Lab: 35% (-5)
Con: 17% (+1)
Lib: 12% (-11)
Oth: 4%
Support for a referendum on Scottish independence:
Immediate referendum: 11%
Within the next year: 28%
In 2010: 26%
Should not be referendum: 21%
None of these: 4%
Don't know: 11%
65% SUPPORT A REFERENDUM WITHIN THE LIFETIME OF THIS PARLIAMENT
Support or oppose country becoming a country independent of the rest of the UK
Support: 34%
Oppose: 50%
Don't know: 15%
The SNP have been in power 11 months. Do achievements make you more or less likely to vote for independence:
Much more likely: 17%
A little more: 15%
No difference: 35%
A little less: 8%
Much less: 19%
Don't know: 7%
SNP support at all-time high
The MRUK Cello poll published in the Sunday Times (16th March '08) shows that: * The SNP's lead over Labour has soared
to 8% on the constituency vote and 10 points on the regional list vote * The SNP are projected to win 57 seats - 13 more than
Labour *
The poll's findings showed that:
Scottish Parliament constituency vote:
SNP: 39% (+6)
Lab: 31% (-1)
Con: 15% (-2)
Lib: 12% (-4)
Oth: 3% (+1)
Scottish Parliament regional vote:
SNP: 40% (+9)
Lab: 30% (+1)
Con: 13% (-1)
Lib: 11% (-)
Oth: 5% (-10)
Projected seats:
SNP: 57
Lab: 44
Con: 16
Lib: 12
How is Alex Salmond doing as leader of the Scottish Government?
Well: 70%
Badly: 17%
Don't know: 13%
POSITIVE RATING: +53
How is Wendy Alexander doing as leader of the Scottish Labour Party ?
Well: 30%
Badly: 52%
Don't know: 18%
NEGATIVE RATING: -22
Among Labour voters, 66% say Alex Salmond is doing a good job, compared with 39% who believe Wendy
Alexander is doing well.
Three times as many Scots trust Salmond over Alexander to deal with all the main areas of devolved
government.
40% of Scots are less likely to vote Labour as a result of Wendy Alexander's illegal donation problems.
A quarter believe they are serious enough to warrant her resignation, while a further 15% think she
should quit for other reasons.
Two-thirds of Scots say that they would vote for independence in certain circumstances.
"There is no good news for Wendy in this poll," says Ivor Knox, of MRUK Cello. "The first 10 months of SNP government
has clearly strengthened its support. On the key issues of the economy, education, health and law and order, far more
voters trust Salmond rather than Alexander to look after their interests."
Deputy First Minister and SNP Depute Leader Ms Nicola Sturgeon MSP said: "These are fantastic poll ratings for the SNP
and the Scottish Government. As we approach the anniversary of our first year in office, the poll shows that our fast pace
of delivery continues to gain the trust of the people with sky high approval ratings under the leadership of Alex Salmond.
Alex Salmond's +53% rating demonstrates his outstanding leadership of the Scottish Government. By contrast, Wendy Alexander's
leadership is in deep crisis."
3rd December 2007
The Scottish National Party released polling figures commissioned from YouGov on support for the Scottish Government
and political leaders:
1. The SNP has been in government in Scotland for just over 6 months. How do you think the
SNP Government has fared so far:
Well: 63% Badly: 26% Don't know: 12%
Among Tory voters it is 56% well
to 32% badly; among Labour voters 52% to 38%; and among Lib Dem voters 64% to 32%.
The last time YouGov polled on Scottish
Government satisfaction ratings, 60% of Scots thought it was doing a good job, and 27% a bad job (1-4 October) –
so approval for the Scottish Government is actually INCREASING six months into government.
2. Thinking about the
performance of Gordon Brown as Prime Minister and Alex Salmond as First Minister of Scotland, which one do you think is doing
a better job?
Alex Salmond: 50% Gordon Brown: 22% Neither: 21% Don't know: 7%
3. Thinking about the
performances of the political party leaders since the Scottish election in May, who has impressed you most?
Alex
Salmond, SNP: 46% Wendy Alexander, Labour: 10% Annabel Goldie, Conservative: 9% Nicol Stephen, Lib Dem: 4% Don't
know: 31%
The poll was conducted before the full extent of Labour's leadership crisis in Scotland became apparent.
Among
Labour voters, Alex Salmond is backed by 34% - well ahead of Wendy Alexander at just 24%.
Among Lib Dem voters, Alex
Salmond is backed by 39% - more than three-times the 12% who favour Nicol Stephen!
Among Tory voters, Annabel Goldie
only just shades Alex Salmond – by 31% to 27%.
YouGov poll commissioned by the SNP, sample
size: 1,111, fieldwork: 28-30 November 2007
Sunday 7 October 2007
YOUGOV POLL SHOWS SNP MAJOR GAINER
The Scottish National Party today [Sunday] released findings from a YouGov opinion poll commissioned
by the Party, which sampled Scottish opinion at the end of the UK conference season. Its key findings are:
*
SNP support for a Westminster election is up some 10 points since 2005. Lib Dem support is halved.
* By more than
2 to 1, Scots believe that the Scottish Government is doing a good job.
* First Minister Alex Salmond is more popular
among Labour voters than Wendy Alexander, and more popular among Lib Dem voters than Nicol Stephen.
* More people believe
that the SNP are positive about Scotland than all of the other parties added together.
YOUGOV POLL COMMISSIONED BY THE SNP, SAMPLE 966, 1-4 OCTOBER
The Scottish National Party commissioned a poll from YouGov at the end of the UK Conference season.
WESTMINSTER
PARTY RATINGS
The poll shows that the SNP is the big gainer – notwithstanding the publicity benefits
of conference which gave both Labour and the Tories a surge. SNP support is around 10 points up compared to the last
election, while Lib Dem support is halved.
Westminster Vote (2005 election figures in brackets)
Lab:
42% (39.5) SNP: 27% (17.7) Con: 18% (15.8) Lib: 11% (22.6) Other: 3% (5)
The SNP are the big gainers,
and the Lib Dems are the major losers.
SCOTTISH GOVERNMENT RATINGS
Do you think the
SNP Scottish Government / Executive is doing a good job or a bad job?
Good: 60% Bad: 27% Don't know:
14%
On the basis of what you have heard since the Scottish election campaign which of these party
leaders has impressed you most?
Annabel Goldie: 9% Wendy Alexander: 9% Alex Salmond: 39% Nicol
Stephen: 3% None of them: 28% Don't know: 11%
Among Lib Dem
voters it is: Alex 26%, Nicol 14%, Annabel 11%, Wendy 6%
Among Labour voters
it is: Alex 25%, Wendy 20%, Annabel 6%, Nicol 4%
Among SNP voters: Alex
84%, Annabel 2%, Nicol 2%, Wendy 1%
Among Tory voters: Annabel 31%, Alex
26%, Wendy 4%, Nicol 0%
Thinking about the performance of Alex Salmond as First Minister of Scotland,
do you think he is doing a good job or a bad job?
Good: 63% Bad: 25% Don't know: 12%
OPTIMISTIC
ABOUT SCOTLAND
The SNP are far ahead of every other party among every age group, social class, and geographical
area of Scotland in terms of being positive and optimistic about Scotland:
Which Party do you think is most
optimistic about Scotland's future?
Scottish National Party: 46% Labour: 20% Conservative: 6% Liberal Democrats:
5% None of them: 10% Don't know: 13%
This reflects the Strathclyde University Election Study which concluded
that the SNP won the Scottish election, "by persuading enough voters that it had a positive agenda for governing Scotland".
____________________
10th August 2007
SENSATIONAL POLL RESULTS FOR SNP
HIGHEST
EVER POLL RATING AND 16 POINT LEAD
SNP 48% - LABOUR 32%
Commenting on the poll
in the Daily Mail by Progressive Scottish Opinion which puts the SNP at 48% to 32% for Labour and also shows 40%
of the public are satisfied with the new SNP Government with only 12% unfavourable a spokesperson for the the Scottish
National Party said:
"These are sensational figures, showing SNP support up 15 points since the election
- and clearly there is no 'Brown bounce' in Scotland. The poll underlines the success of the SNP government in
delivering our programme for the first 100 days at a pace that has left the opposition parties gasping, and unable to
keep up.
"This is the highest opinion poll rating we have ever recorded.
"The SNP
has build credibility and competence in government, and that is reflected in the satisfaction figures running at over
three-to-one in favour. No previous Scottish government has build up such a solid platform of support in its first
100 days.
"Support for independence depends on how you ask the question - with as many polls in favour
as against - and the important thing now is that we will lead a national conversation on Scotland's constitutional future
which will galvanise further support."
Details
The results from Progressive Scottish
Opinion are:
If a Holyrood election was held tomorrow, which party would you vote for?
SNP 48% Labour
32% Tories 8% Lib Dems 8%
Greens 2% SSP 2%
How satisfied are you with the SNP's performance to date?
Very satisfied
10% Quite satisfied 30% Neither 25% Quite dissatisfied 7% Very dissatisfied 5% Unsure/don't know 23%
Would
you approve or disapprove of Scotland becoming independent?
Approve 31% Disapprove 49% Unsure/don't
know 20%
Poll 1st July
SNP IN GOVERNMENT –
REFLECTING THE MOOD OF THE NATION
After 49 days in office
the first SNP Government has hit the ground running in delivering our policy agenda. A fact reflected in an exclusive opinion
poll commissioned by the party.
* PARTY RATINGS
The poll found increasing
support for the SNP since their election to Government. The results were:
|
Constituency Vote |
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|
Regional Vote |
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|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
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|
Party |
Poll |
Election |
% Change |
|
Party |
Poll |
Election |
% Change |
|
SNP |
38 |
33 |
+5 |
|
SNP |
33 |
31 |
+2 |
|
Lab |
31 |
32 |
-1 |
|
Lab |
28 |
29 |
-1 |
|
Con |
14 |
17 |
-3 |
|
Con |
14 |
14 |
n/c |
|
Lib |
12 |
16 |
-4 |
|
Lib |
10 |
11 |
-1 |
|
Other |
6 |
2 |
4 |
|
Grn |
7 |
4 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
SSP |
5 |
1 |
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Sol |
1 |
2 |
-1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other |
2 |
8 |
-6 |
* OVERALL PERFORMANCE
The poll found overwhelming
support for the SNP Government performing well in office. The results were:
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On the basis of what
you have heard since the Scottish election, how do you think the new SNP government is performing?
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Well |
56 |
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Badly |
13 |
|
Don’t know |
31 |
* POLICY DELIVERY
The poll found overwhelming
approval for the measures the SNP Government has introduced since the election. The results were:
Here are some measures
that the Scottish Government has announced since the SNP won last month’s election. Do you approve or disapprove each
of them?
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Removing prescription
charges for people suffering chronic conditions
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Reducing class sizes
to 18 in primary school classes for years 1 to 3
|
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Approve |
88 |
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Approve |
70 |
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Neither approve nor disapprove |
4 |
|
Neither approve nor disapprove |
18 |
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Disapprove |
4 |
|
Disapprove |
8 |
|
Don’t know |
4 |
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Don’t know |
4 |
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Removing the Graduate
Endowment fee for Scottish students
|
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Approve |
60 |
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Neither approve nor disapprove |
22 |
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Disapprove |
12 |
|
Don’t know |
7 |
* CONSTRUCTIVE &
CONSENSUAL
The poll found that Alex
Salmond has been constructive and consensual as First Minister compared to the leader of the opposition. The results were:
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Alex Salmond has tried
to be constructive and consensual following his election as First Minister
|
|
Jack McConnell has tried
to be constructive and consensual following Alex Salmond's election as First Minister
|
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Agree |
47 |
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Agree |
18 |
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